February was another good month of polling for the Labour Party and Keir Starmer, who ended January holding a 21% lead over the Conservatives. In some ways, the content of the protocol deal was the relatively straightforward bit. Starmer clearly believes very firmly in the corrupt FPTP system as . If Starmers mid-year trough was the mathematical product of Johnsons vaccine-induced rise, his end-year breakthrough could be dismissed as the mere reflection of the prime ministers unpopularity but it feels more soundly based than that. Recent polls also suggest the party has a clear double-digit lead in the 23 June byelection in Wakefield, the type of seat it will need to win back if it hopes to win a majority or form the government at the next election. Want to bookmark your favourite articles and stories to read or reference later? His website and blog can be found at www.jonathan-cook.net. It is something Blair spoke about a lot, not having the first idea what he was doing when he got through the door. The survey by GB News, sees Labour on 47% of the national vote, the Conservative Party on 21%, the Liberal Democrats on 10%, the Greens on 7% and Reform on 6%. For most of the year, as the government enjoyed the protection against the illness of unpopularity afforded by a successful vaccination programme, it looked as if the forward march of Labour had halted. politics . The date range for opinion polls is from the 2019 United Kingdom general election, held on 12 December, to the present day. For one thing, the protocol deal may stumble. IT'S a genuine poll result . All rights reserved. 61 per cent want 'completely new type of political . Instead, unlike Liz Truss, he prioritised the things where he could begin to shift the dial and build some political capital. Meanwhile, he has differentiated Labour simply by eschewing the more indefensible forms of predatory capitalism the current Conservative leadership embraces. The Labour leaders promises to team up with business may unsettle some on the left of his party, who are already worried about Starmers increasingly cosy relationship with the City. 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Well, Starmer saw Boris off, and his successor Liz Truss - and Labour have had an opinion poll lead for the last 474 days. The DUP is divided about how to respond, and enjoys the feeling of having Sunaks future in its hands. He was previously Director of Public Prosecutions from 2008 to 2013.. Starmer was born in London and raised in Surrey, where he . In late June, he formally ditched those promises, saying Labour would be starting from scratch. When asked who is best to manage the economy in the years ahead, 30% say a Labour government with Sir Keir Starmer as Prime Minister. So will his left-wing opponents, and mainstream MPs who . This is especially true for Labour voters, more than half of whom blame Truss (44%) or Sunak (10%) for the current crisis while only 11% blame global events. Sir Keir Starmer's decision to make Sue Gray his chief of staff proves he is a "man of the establishment" and will harm Labour's chances of winning the Red Wall, a former Conservative party chairman has claimed Sir Jake Berry said the appointment underlined that the Labour leader would run a . Conservative government loom big in voters' minds. Too soon for that. The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Keir Starmer, leader of the Labour Party and Leader of the Opposition since April 2020. A backlash is coming, Labour leader Keir Starmer addresses the annual Labour Party conference in Brighton, England, on 9 September 2021 (AFP), How top Labour officials plotted to bring down Jeremy Corbyn, Forde Inquiry exposes Labour's biggest problem: Keir Starmer, Jonathan Cook is the author of three books on the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, and a winner of the Martha Gellhorn Special Prize for Journalism. Rishi Sunak branded Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer 'Mr 2nd Referendum' as he told the 1922 Committee of backbench Tories that the public are sick of Brexit 'drama'. The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Carla Denyer and Adrian Ramsay, co-leaders of the Green Party of England and Wales since October 2021. More broadly, this will be central to boosting the nations productivity going forward. His party trails Labour by, Sunak has had luck along the way. Much as I detest Starmer and the current Labour Party he will likely win back the ugly racist Brexit gammons who voted Tory or Farage last election, he won't loose safe seats like mine, and he won't care if a few of the more comfortable and liberal Tory seats flip Lib Dem. 7 times Hancock hogged UK headlines, Chief of Staff - Maternity Cover (Brussels), Metsola wants Ukraine EU membership talks to start this year, Aggro-culture: Farmers protest brings Brussels EU Quarter to a standstill, Rishi Sunak says Whitehall must be impartial amid row over Grays Labour job. . It was the last bit that was telling, implying that there was no one around him who was prepared to bring him bad news honest feedback being a basic requirement of any functioning organisation, as Starmer would have known from running the Crown Prosecution Service. 10. Not least, he has shredded the pledges he made during his campaign for the Labour leadership, policy commitments he sold Labour members as evidence he would serve as the continuity candidate for his left-wing predecessor, Jeremy Corbyn. The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Nigel Farage, leader of the Reform UK, formerly named Brexit Party, until 6 March 2021. Page of 216. The man who would be Prime Minister addressed St. Columb's politics students and students from the . The Opinium figures, which will raise further concerns within Labour over the party leader's performance, shows that the prime minister has a two-point lead over his opponent. Under the British systems two-horse race, he reckoned he needed to do no more than position himself as the least bad option. The Lib Dems are on 13% with the Greens on 6%. Some of the more detailed polling questions, which have given Johnson the benefit of the doubt all year, have also turned. He is not. . Does Rishi Sunak deserve some kind of apology? When politics resumes next week, the Labour leader will have a (courteous) spring in his step But other Starmer allies dismissed the findings, claiming it was difficult to draw . 2023. Latest news, analysis and comment on defense in Europe and beyond. War in Ukraine overturned the political landscape. The Labour leader grilled the Prime Minister on housebuilding, calling on him to "bring back . Inflation, higher interest rates, energy price hikes and strikes ensured a grim winter. There is also majority support for helping the more than 600,000 people on benefits to have to meet with a work coach to help them back into the labour market. The Labour leader said he is glad the Democratic Unionist Party (DUP) is taking time to consider . 'A poll the other day had . The Tories have remained persistently behind Labour throughout the summer and currently stand on 32 per cent of the vote with Labour on 42 per cent, according to BMG. The Leader of the Opposition leads by ten points or more on being in touch with ordinary people (39% to 20%), they understand the problems facing Britain (50% to 37%), they are an . A source in the leaders office told me that, with Keir, the Labour Party has the strongest message discipline weve had in years. 2. Like Toto the dog pulling back the wizard's curtain, the rancorous and increasingly risible leadership contest is exposing rifts within the SNP as never before; instead of revealing a kindly old . They are also targeting the partys next conference in the autumn as the moment to set out more detail of their plans adding that Labour is making progress with important groups of voters. He has blamed ballooning debt from the Covid-19 pandemic as the reason. The vaccine effect wore off, and the stories of parties in Downing Street last year blew up a bomb marked double standards which had been sitting unexploded for some time under the weakening structure. None of this means Sunak is suddenly the effective and successful leader that the Tory party has lacked for so long. For many, he is also indelibly linked to other New Labour cash scandals, including a rowover a watered-down advertising banfor Formula 1 just after F1 boss Bernie Ecclestone gave millions to the party. The opinion polls have turned in the Labour leader's favour - vindicating his 'strategic patience'. Rishi Sunak is shaping up to be a prime minister Keir Starmer should be wary of,Sunak's handling of the NI protocol suggests a leader - and a Tory party - with more left in the tank than some think, says Guardian columnist Martin Kettle New polling, conducted by Ipsos between 3rd-5th February, shows the public are more likely to apply several leadership traits to Keir Starmer than Rishi Sunak. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. Starmer and Shadow Chancellor Rachel Reeves have met hundreds of executives over the past year in what has been called the salmon and scrambled eggs offensive a riff on Blair and his own Chancellor Gordon Browns so-called prawn cocktail offensive of the 1990s. Yoda Age: 22. Theres no complacency but we remain confident of the strategy we have to get Keir to No 10., Original reporting and incisive analysis, direct from the Guardian every morning. Boris Johnson and Keir Starmer at the Platinum Pageant for the Queen in London. His party trails Labour by more than 20 points in the polls. Labours new HQ in Southwark is described by party officials as a serious upgrade, with the NEC member quoted earlier calling it a proper campaign HQ, like it was in 1997., The party has also been on a hiring spree in recent months, advertising for dozens of new positions across the country. This was a fall of six points, while Mr Johnson saw his popularity climb by eight points to 40%. Only 17% say a Conservative government with Rishi Sunak as prime minister. It also reveals that Starmers party holds a narrow two-point lead, compared with a three-point lead in the last poll a fortnight ago. He speaks candidly about his drinking since childhood and deliberately avoiding Keir Starmer, with the Labour leader yet to make a decision on his membership of the party. Its much less normalized compared to the U.S. and there are much bigger negatives to it in the U.K. aside from the pragmatic arguments. Nicola Sturgeons departure has disarmed the Scottish separatist threat for a while, though the union remains fragile in the longer term. Not only is Labour considered a strong favorite to win the next election, but the moderate Labour right faction is now in firm control of the party an unthinkable position just a few years ago when the Corbynite left looked unassailable. These are people that dont have to be spending their time and money doing this, a Labour shadow Cabinet minister said. Having endured a torrid few months, Rishi Sunak is at least ending February on a personal high. 29 days ago . Labour leader Keir Starmer has demanded the Covid inquiry release findings by the end of the year amid fresh criticism of former Health Secretary . Commenting, Prof. Matt Goodwin added: Amid a mass exodus from the Labour market, and millions of people now taking out-of-work benefits in various forms, this polling clearly points to public support for helping people who are on benefits back into the workplace. Starmer, he said, was making catastrophic errors, creating a punch-up with our own side. But the problem runs deeper. Starmer is determined to beat the Tories at their own game, vowing to fight the election on economic growth. A backlash is coming. But it remains to be seen whether the announcement of a deal with the European Union over the Northern Ireland Protocol will lead to a reversal in the Governments polling fortunes. Hence some of the changes to the leaders office which he has made since then. Starmer has transplanted many of Blairs favorite donor point-people into his close circle to build a powerhouse fundraising team. LONDON Labour leader Keir Starmer has chosen Sue Gray, the senior civil servant who investigated pandemic rule-busting parties in Boris Johnson's government, as his chief of staff. Keir Starmer is set to appoint Sue Gray, the senior civil servant who investigated the partygate scandal, as his chief of staff.. Gray, who has a fearsome reputation for probing ministerial misbehaviour and ethics concerns, has left her role as head of the Union and Constitution Directorate at the Cabinet Office and is soon expected to join Starmer's team. The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Keir Starmer, leader of the Labour Party and Leader of the Opposition since April 2020. Only England and Wales jurisdiction apply in all legal matters. From the (limited) media I read it was pretty well received and will maintain/increase Labour's lead in the opinion polls. Robert Struthers of BMG told i: Keir Starmer will have been hoping for a polling bounce following his big announcement on freezing energy bills to tackle the energy crisis at the beginning of this week. Starmer holds an approval rating of -6, unchanged from two weeks ago. As people increasingly see through Johnsons bluster and feel the impact of his lack of decisions, weve created space to show that Keir is the serious politician needed for post-pandemic Britain., To keep up to speed with all the latest opinions and comment sign up to our free weekly Voices newsletter by clicking here. But the publics view of the the Labour leader himself appears to be becoming more negative, following weeks in which he has been accused of failing to be more forceful on the cost of living. And further underscoring how divorced she is from the public mood, Truss intends to reverse a planned rise in what is a historically low rate of corporation tax. Starmer has sacked one shadow minister, Sam Tarry, the partner of Labour deputy leader Angela Rayner, after Tarry declared that every worker should get a pay rise in line with inflation. Estimated Reading Time: 3-5 minutes. Starmer certainly is not doing so. Labour looks to Keir Starmer's readiness to pounce. The head of the opposition has resolutely avoided offering any kind of vision for Britain, fearful it might be construed as vaguely socialist, and has even been averse to robustly challenging the ruling Tory party. Plaid Cymru call on Mark Drakeford to sack health minister after damning health board report, Sir Keir Starmer defends appointing partygate investigator Sue Gray as chief of staff, Johnson allies claim partygate was 'a Labour stitch up' after Starmer appoints Sue Gray to top role. Starmer had begun the year in a strong position, ready for the next leg of the long march up Labours electoral mountain. Starmer has refused to cash in on the most visible sign of growing public discontent at Tory policies that continue to redistribute wealth upwards. The 10-point gap has been roughly stable since June, with the resignation of Boris Johnson and the leadership election having no significant impact on the polls. As popular anger mounts, Starmers lack of vision for a sustainable future risks plunging parliamentary politics into even deeper crisis. And, in a further nod to the business-friendly "New Labour" days of the 1990s and 2000s, he's even tapping Tony Blair's moneymen to fund his bid for power. And Ipsos MORI has Starmer 13 points ahead, while other pollsters also show him outperforming his party. politics . neutral role in the civil service would come at a time when Labour holds a strong lead over the ruling Conservatives in opinion polls and as Starmer sets out his vision and policy priorities for Britain ahead of a . Blairs most important fundraiser during his premiership Michael Levy once referred to as Lord Cashpoint also has a role in tapping up wealthy donors. In my dealings with Gray when I was political secretary, I found her . And, in a further nod to the business-friendly New Labour days of the 1990s and 2000s, hes even tapping Tony Blairs moneymen to fund his bid for power. Sir Keir's office declined to comment, saying it did not offer 'running commentaries' on opinion polls. That has included reneging on his commitment to take back into public ownership key utilities, including gas and electricity. LONDON (Reuters) -Keir Starmer, the leader of Britain's opposition Labour Party, has picked as his new chief of staff Sue Gray, a government official whose investigation helped catalyse the exit . The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Nicola Sturgeon, leader of the Scottish National Party and first minister of Scotland since November 2014. But Starmers success - assuming it can be maintained - has come at an extraordinarily high political price. Updated on 2 March 2023 at 8:00. R&WS Research Team. His dullness became steadiness; his earnestness became a serious leader for serious times. He was given a peerage by Blair in 1998 and acted as an unofficial adviser to the former PM through his 10-year reign. Keir Starmer is finally ahead in the polls but at what cost? Nevertheless, this week highlighted some early if incomplete signs that Sunak is starting to change the Tory party. The prominent involvement of Labour MP Zarah Sultana, a Corbyn supporter, suggests the depth of frustration in growing sections of the party at the direction Starmer has taken. This week, though, has provided a reminder of two important things that deserve to be noted by political observers. Even some Tory rebels were baffled by Starmers performance, saying it had helped Johnson regain some stability after the confidence vote. Labour extended its lead nationally to 27%, the widest margin it has held since Sunak became PM in October, while also opening up a lead of 28% in the Red Wall (another record lead . but more one-sided than a North Korean election held at gunpoint. GBNEWS. Ipsos publishes the latest results of UK opinion polls and voting intention. The non-Corbynite majority of Labour MPs didnt have an alternative candidate either; hence their mood of gloom and fatalism. For years, we shocked people with Corbyn as leader in the worst way possible and we now need to shock them in positive ways, the shadow Cabinet minister quoted earlier said. The findings which show the Liberal Democrats on 11 per cent, the Greens on 5 per cent and Reform UK on 3 per cent suggest Sir Keir is currently on course to become Prime Minister at the next general election and may win a Commons majority. Labour also still hold a lead of 10 points over the Conservatives in terms of overall voting intentions, broadly in line with our figures for June and likely to see the Labour party win a majority if an election were tomorrow.. The views expressed in this article belong to the author and do not necessarily reflect the editorial policy of Middle East Eye. The Labour leaders raft of broken promises on key issues likely to be close to the hearts of voters as their living standards collapse risks casting him as unreliable and untrustworthy. If you do not have an account you can register here. The poll also found voters backing Keir Starmer over Rishi Sunak. The choreography of the protocol deal was also bold. It is a dramatic capitulation for a party in opposition that grew out of the activities of the trade union movement and still affirms on its website that its affiliation with leading unions is what makes [Labour] unique. Instead, she has frozen record high fuel bills, but it is taxpayers, not business, who will face the burden of repaying the 150bn ($170bn) costs further down the road. The job of being Leader of the Opposition is, famously, the most thankless available in British politics. In his party conference speech in which Corbyn supporters were reduced to impotent heckling Starmer derided Johnson as a trivial politician; in the Commons, Starmer repeated the line the joke is wearing thin. . "The Labour leader has taken a significant fall across all metrics in the last two weeks, particularly being a strong leader, looking like a prime minister in waiting, and being able to get things done. Please help update this article to reflect recent events or newly available information. An Opinium poll sees the Labour leader struggling to make headway against a PM whose handling of the pandemic has gained approval. Worryingly for Rishi Sunak, only a minority of his own voters, 43%, back a Sunak-led government when it comes to managing the economy. A return to power-sharing at Stormont, with the DUP playing second fiddle to Sinn Fin, is a long way off. It was, mathematically, the result of the government and prime minister enjoying a vaccine boost in popularity, but it prompted bitter Corbynites to remind Blairites how they had predicted that under any other leader Labour would be 20 points ahead. The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Jeremy Corbyn, the former leader of the Labour Party until 4 April 2020. Some 55% of people polled said they were dissatisfied with the Prime Minister, compared to 49% in December. The get together was reeling from its worst efficiency on the poll field since 1935, riven by inner divisions, below hearth over its report of tackling antisemitism and going through an seemingly unassailable Boris Johnson atop an 80-seat majority. It includes a job ad for a celebrities and endorsement manager.. Nobody wants to see industrial action that is disruptive.. Nicola Sturgeons departure has disarmed the Scottish separatist threat for a while.. But his handling of the Northern Ireland protocol changes this week suggests a leader with more in the tank than critics have allowed. After the loss of Hartlepool in a by-election in May and a clash with Angela Rayner, the deputy Labour leader, over the reshuffle that followed, he and his party seemed to suffer a crisis of confidence. Starmer is said to have become increasingly comfortable in these settings over the past 12 months as his status as prime minister-in-waiting Labour is consistently polling 20 points ahead of the Tories is further entrenched. And he is now trailing Sir Keir as the most popular candidate to be Prime Minister. Andrew Fisher, Corbyns former director of policy, said Starmers preference for private donations may backfire. He could hardly have been in a weaker position than he was when he took over as Tory leader in October. Such criteria would presumably be based on an assessment of public opinion in Scotland over a sustained period: a consistent, long-running lead for independence in opinion polls, say, or in election results (measured, as the SNP have recently suggested, in terms of a vote share of over 50 per cent for independence-supporting parties). Keir Starmer is the 1st most popular Labour politician and the 2nd most popular politician & political figure. Latest news, analysis and comment on elections in Europe and beyond. BMG Research interviewed a representative sample of 2,091 GB adults online between 16 and 18 August. Labour holds a 10-point lead over the Conservatives as Liz Truss and Rishi Sunak attack each other in public but Sir Keir Starmers personal ratings have gone backwards. For Sunak personally, his approval rating, despite some fluctuations, ends February more or less where it was at the end of January. Support for the Labour Party has grown in the aftermath of the Autumn Statement, a new poll reveals today. By logging in, you confirm acceptance of ourPOLITICO Privacy Policy. The polls may be indicating a huge win for Labour at the next general election, but here's a reason Keir Starmer shouldn't be celebrating yet: Almost two in three voters want a new political party to take on the Conservatives and Labour, a shock new study of trust in politics has found. He is very much, here is the problem and this is the solution. Latest news, analysis and comment on migration in Europe and beyond. But its all part of a major play by the opposition to woo firms, while key moneymen from the Blair era are being tasked up with filling the partys coffers once again. But allow some credit where it is due to Sunak. Commenting on the poll, a nationally representative survey of British adults by British Polling Council (BPC) member People Polling, Professor Matt Goodwin said: Both these numbers and the polls more broadly suggest that the Conservative Partys limited recovery that has been visible in the polls in recent weeks may have stalled. He has been Member of Parliament (MP) for Holborn and St Pancras since 2015. The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Rishi Sunak, leader of the Conservative Party since 24 October 2022 and Prime Minister of the United Kingdom since 25 October 2022. But his U-turn looks all the more foolhardy given the current energy crisis and the Tory governments massive bailouts of suppliers. In practice, however, that appears to mean prioritising the supposed needs of the City and major corporations while paying only lip service to the struggle of ordinary people. . The prime minister suddenly hit real unpopularity in the last month of the year. Different polling companies report widely differing figures on this question, but even Savanta ComRes, long the least favourable to Starmer, now has him two points ahead of Johnson when people are asked: Which of the following do you think would make the best prime minister? Starmer on 33 per cent and Johnson on 31 per cent are both eclipsed by dont know on 36 per cent, but politics is a game of relative advantage.
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