This past winter, Rodon decided to forego the final year of his deal with the San Francisco Giants. Throws: Unknown, School: Cedarville University (Cedarville, OH), More Caden McKinion Pages at Baseball Reference, Every Sports Reference Social Media Account, Site Last Updated: Saturday, March 4, 12:52AM. However, that doesnt mean he has a good eye at the plate. If we have a good faith basis to believe that Yuli Gurriel and Jos Abreu didnt suddenly become awesome baseball players the minute they were able to play in the US, why should the performances that pre-date their debuts here be summarily ignored when bestowing baseballs highest honor? Osmond had an up-and-down abbreviated first season in Stillwater, but he has a couple of things going for him headed into next season. Abreus HoF case rests on the assumption that he ISNT a massive outlier like Freddie Freeman, and his ability followed normal aging curves rather than becoming a completely different hitter and player at age 26. LOS ANGELES Sophomore second baseman Duce Gourson went 3-4 with a homer and a pair of RBIs to lead No. 169 72 66 16 46 247. Copyright 2000-2023 Sports Reference LLC. Yet since moving stateside, Gurriel has worn just one uniform, and it still seems strange to think of him wearing any colors other than blue, orange, and white. Park was a notable prospect for his power, which he did show in his brief MLB look, hitting 12 home runs in 62 games. 1. And I personally dont believe large assumptions should be made in this type of case. He was absolutely amazing in Cuba and definitely deserves to be in the Cuban Baseball Hall of Fame. You know who does? Context for TKDCs opinions on Abreus HoF chances should include the weeks he spent claiming that Beltrans 400 bombs and 2700 hits meant that no traditional voter would have ever considered him as a viable candidate, even without the scandal. Shit, if you knock the same OPS number off Abreus 20-25 seasons as the career gap between Yulis MLB and Serie Nacional numbers, it comes out to a .999 OPS. I took the time to look at what hes done and compared it to a fair look at his contemporaries. Im just saying that projecting 20 WAR in this make-believe world is not conservative at all. Total Zone Rating and initial framework for Wins above Replacement calculations provided by Sean Smith. I then included the strikeout, walk, and home run rates for each season as well to see if they helped explain the trends we see. If he gets 8.1 rWAR in those 3 years, hes at 40 from age 27 on (& assuming hes done at the end of this contract). South Korea is typically a strong nation in international baseball competitions, and this years World Baseball Classic team is a favorite to advance out of their pool. Major League and Minor League Baseball data provided by Major League Baseball. Last year, however, his 38 years caught up to him. Data Provided By To me, Abreus case looks very strong, as he racked up 433 HR despite many of his prime seasons in Cuba lasting only 90 games. Carson Montgomery, RHP, Florida State. Do you know which two big league pitchers from the twentieth century made the top ten? Who will be 2021s strikeout king? His first-pitch strike percentage was better than average for the very first time. This would all be easier if we had any idea how Cuban numbers translate. Someday, hell earn a plaque in the Astros Hall of Fame. As it stands now, no way, but, the dicussion is interesting. copyright=new Date(); But thats not this. If it is just that he got to the states just as his peak was ending, then we are talking about a likely 1st ballot kind of guy. It would be more of a McGriff-like case than a Pujols-like case, but its worth considering, I think. Park is a speedster who covers a lot of ground and can steal bases, though he has cut back on his stolen bases a little as he entered his thirties. Everything about Rockers track record suggests that he 8.10. He will be looking to rebound in 2023, and hopefully a strong showing in the WBC will help him get off to a good start this year. I could also see him (with MLB time from 21-26) getting in on a Veterans Committee vote. The fact is he came to the US and performed as a thoroughly average player, with stints of being above and well below average in between. One is his pure stuff, which includes a devastating fastball-slider combination. On groundballs and line drives, Gurriel was perfectly fine. Ultimately we will never know the answer, but it is fun to speculate. Along with Jeff Zimmerman, he won the 2013 SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis. His bat was mediocre, his power was lacking, his baserunning was poor, and his defense was lousy in other words, his toolbox was empty. For what its worth, Freeman wasnt really a late bloomer, he was posting a 150 wRC+ at age 23 and has been a pretty consistent player since then. Last season Lee did his best Tony Gwynn impression, posting a tiny 5% strikeout rate with an 11% walk rate. Lee is the best pure hitter in the KBO, with a career batting average of .342 and more career walks than strikeouts. His Hall over? Or because juicing Matsuis NPB stats to match the delta that Abreu saw moving from the CNS would still leave his 19-28 numbers drastically worse than Abreus? Baseball San Diego Stats Baseball vs San Diego March 10, 2023 6:30 p.m. Web2021 Major League Baseball Batting Leaders | Baseball-Reference.com. His command will help his stuff play up, but with a fastball that can touch the mid 90s as its best and a good slider, the stuff is plenty good as it is. WebCaden McKinion College Leagues Statistics including batting, fielding, prospect rankings and more on Baseball-Reference.com , 2021, 2022 MLB Pitching, 2022 MLB Batting , 2022 MLB Pitching, Career WAR Leaders, Single-Season Home Run Leaders, Active Strikeout Leaders, Upcoming Player Milestones, MLB Scores. Arms like Bachman dont take the mound every day in the Mid-American Conference, and that should only help Bachman pile up strikeouts. Thats an incredible drop. Yuli Gurriel has played professional baseball around the world, suiting up in Cuba and Japan before making his way to MLB. Its a relatively small sample, sure, but Lonsway led the country in strikeouts per nine innings last season by punching out 42 hitters in 18 innings of work. What is particularly impressive about Mantiply, though, is that literally every Logos were compiled by the amazing SportsLogos.net. Its kinda funny that theres really only been one case where this rule couldve applied, which was with Ichiro, but he just went ahead and had a hall-worthy career without even having to make that consideration. Minnesotas Max Meyer and Texas A&Ms Asa Lacy both finished in the top five in the nation in strikeouts and then were also selected in the top five picks. Early returns are good, as he struck out 26 in 19.1 innings as a freshman in 2020. It looks like it could be the decline phase of what mightve otherwise been a borderline HOF career. by Retrosheet. Maybe someday we will get a better sense of how to translate Korean or Cuban stats but we arent there yet. When you grow up and join the real world, these lessons will be helpful. The Astros first baseman hit 194 fly balls and only managed a hit on 26 of them. as well as the sharp increase in strikeout rates starting around the 1992 season. But in the U.S., even if you dont penalize him at all (and its not so much penalizing him as it is rewarding players who played in MLB prior to age 27), he doesnt look like a hall of famer. His performance on liners was actually his best in years. The highest-ranked freshman on the BA 500 to make it to campus, Montgomery has a fastball that has been as high as 96 mph and a slider that was one of the best in the 2020 prep class. Some will summarily throw the case out, as you did with gusto, but I think the unknown is worth probing with a charitable eye, in this case. He produced a SLG above .500 in each season since 2010 and from 2010-2021 he had an OPS of .900 or better every year, falling just below that benchmark in 2022 (.891). Beyond the MLB players and potential future stars, Team Korea has some veteran players rounding out the lineup from the KBO. Yeah, the Cuban #s is the rub. 1. Most position players in the league are rated below MLB average by DRS, and some drastically so. To me he has a HoF case because he was stuck in Cuba during his best years when he was one of the best players in the world. Honestly, this is good for you. He only has 1 season over 5 fWAR and unlike Gurriel he played his traditional peak years in MLB. Which pitch should we highlight next. WebWillie Stargell is number five on the all time career strikeout list, but he never broke into the top eighty (80) on the single season leaders for strikeouts; by comparison, Jose Hernandez already appears two (2) times in the top twenty and is well on his way to becoming one of the big leaders (#69 all-time already [up from #82 in 2004]). He stepped right into the Bigs at 27 and was immediately one of the best hitters in baseball. He is also the creator of the baseballr package for the R programming language. Parks continued success hitting for power has him fourth all-time in KBO home runs despite a slow start to his career and missing two of his prime years playing in North America. If there were some World Baseball Hall of Fame, hed also have a very good case. If the Marlins are still calling, hed be wise to pick up the phone. Likely wouldnt have kept up the pace over 162, 350 BABIP (.327 career) and 32.8 HR/FB% (18.7% career). Gurriels Baseball Savant page provides a good preliminary explanation of what went wrong. Where what happened yesterday is being preserved today. 1. Leiter has the stuff to give Vanderbilt a second contender, with Rocker, to top the strikeout list. Watch our How-To Videos to Become a Stathead, Subscribe to Stathead and get access to more data than you can imagine. In 2021, Gurriel gave fans hope that he could buck the aging curve. Cusick struck out 43 batters in 22.1 innings in 2020 and only improved his stock as a potential strikeout king with his performance over the summer, when he struck out 40 in 23.1 innings in the Coastal Plain League thanks to a fastball that was up to 96 mph and a slider thats above average at its best. SO/9. That said, a high strikeout rate is sustainable for a pitcher with Lonsways stuff, which includes a fastball that reaches the mid 90s and three secondary offerings. While watching the Mets pound on the Cubs yesterday, I noticed that David Wright still has a walk rate (BB%) higher than his strikeout rate (K%). Since 1992, there have been only 4 first baseman to have 20+ WAR by age 26. What Ivan is alluding to is that if Yuli had been able to get out and join an MLB roster in his 20s, he probably would have had a case for the HoF. Semien TOR. The current criteria dont value that though. Hoglund came into college baseball with a reputation as an elite strike thrower, but after an up-and-down freshman season, he really came into his own in terms of missing bats last season, when he struck out 37 in 23.1 innings. If it was the league adjusting to him, then if he had been in the big leagues at 21, he presumably would have had that monster first season then spent the rest of his career as basically the guy weve seen (who to be clear is still a great player and likely would have been a borderline HOFer). The question kind of becomes why Abreu never got close to his 2014 production (outside of 2020) again. Olthoff has plenty of stuff, including a fastball that sits in the low 90s, but command and control are his calling card. Home I mean, you cant possibly be making a case for Abreu no using rWAR, or are you just so shook realizing how right I am and how much of an imbecile you are? Use without license or authorization is expressly prohibited. Camels take series over Louisiana. WebCheck out the Spring 2023 GIAA AAAA Boys Baseball Batting Average stat leaders, including stats for Plate Appearances, Hits, At Bats, Doubles, Triples, Home Runs, and Games Played We genuinely cant know how the embargo impacted Abreus careerbut Im certainly more inclined to use the Davenport numbers as a proxy than to throw a hissyfit at the suggestion that this hypothetical prime might have exceeded the performance of historically notable late bloomer at the same age.
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